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DO YOUR OWN RATINGS

 

Does your selection look like a winner?

Use this simple checklist to help find out

 

Category

Question

Answer

Scoring Score
Class

Has your horse won or placed in a race of this class or above in the last 12 months?

(By 'class', I refer to the grade of the race: 'A', 'B', 'C' etc.)

Won 

3  
Placed 2

Neither

0
Course

Has your horse won or placed on this course or one with similar characteristics in the last 12 months?

 

For similar courses please refer to the appropriate track matrix: Flat or NH (these will open in new windows).

Won here

3  
Won on similar 2
Placed here 2
Placed on similar 1
Neither 0
Distance Has your horse won or placed over today's distance in the last 12 months? Won 3  
Placed 1
Neither 0
Recent Form Has your horse finished within half a length per furlong of the winner in either of its last two runs? (e.g. if its last race was over 8f answer 'yes' if within 4l). Yes 2  
No 0
Speed

Has your horse registered an adjusted Topspeed rating for today's race, which is no lower than 75% of the highest rating for the race?

(Topspeed is prepared by Dave Edwards in the Racing Post).

Yes 2  
No 0
Going Has your horse won or placed on today's going in the last 12 months? Won 2  
Placed 1
Neither 0

Draw

Does it look like your horse will be inconvenienced by the draw in today's race? Yes 0  
No 1
Fitness Has your horse run within the last 50 days? Yes 1  
No 0
First-time aids Is your horse wearing blinkers/visor for the first time? Yes 0  
No 1
Jockey Has today's jockey won or placed on your horse before? Yes 1  
No 0
Trainer Has the trainer had 3 horses placed in the last 14 days? Yes 1  
No 0

When you have calculated the score for your horse, multiply by 5 to get a rating out of 100. A horse rating 100 must have an outstanding chance of winning today.

 

Without being over-scientific, if the rating is not over 50, a bet would look risky. It is also a good idea to rate the other leading contenders in the race to see how your selection compares.

 

This is by no means a definitive method, but it will help highlight the areas of study on which to concentrate. With a little practice, you will be able to look at a horse's form and know instinctively if it is a good bet.

 

Once you are happy it is then time to calculate the value of your bet to see whether an investment is wise (see Getting Value)

 

Steve Jones

cdsystems

 

© 2000 - 2005 Professional Betting Advice and Strategy from cdsystems.

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